Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.609367 0.681666 0.760062 0.851536 0.955532 1.070303 1.206857
2025-02-16 0.499234 0.598225 0.714129 0.860509 1.041363 1.258657 1.541261
2025-02-23 0.442601 0.554231 0.691562 0.874220 1.112702 1.416109 1.835508
2025-03-02 0.387584 0.502625 0.649861 0.854053 1.132932 1.504878 2.045863
2025-03-09 0.358035 0.478865 0.639022 0.869592 1.197546 1.654138 2.350073
2025-03-16 0.325882 0.447524 0.613681 0.860749 1.224837 1.751240 2.587642
2025-03-23 0.304102 0.427919 0.601825 0.868333 1.274350 1.882728 2.888524
2025-03-30 0.279836 0.402306 0.578602 0.856103 1.291619 1.965523 3.120507
2025-04-06 0.260451 0.382004 0.561049 0.850070 1.316609 2.060971 3.381597
2025-04-13 0.235947 0.352012 0.526364 0.813967 1.289625 2.068992 3.494166
2025-04-20 0.224900 0.341679 0.520825 0.823281 1.336785 2.202796 3.839608
2025-04-27 0.215183 0.332602 0.516366 0.833588 1.385907 2.343747 4.213333
2025-05-04 0.204812 0.321998 0.509050 0.839151 1.428528 2.479667 4.599184
2025-05-11 0.194802 0.311285 0.500772 0.842364 1.467306 2.612730 4.997305
2025-05-18 0.187762 0.304912 0.499102 0.856685 1.527066 2.790070 5.506055
2025-05-25 0.175372 0.288633 0.479346 0.836821 1.520911 2.840079 5.756140
2025-06-01 0.169844 0.283734 0.478887 0.852033 1.582799 3.029510 6.329363
2025-06-08 0.160985 0.272419 0.466271 0.843387 1.596956 3.123586 6.703385
2025-06-15 0.155230 0.266210 0.462331 0.850800 1.643618 3.289205 7.262680
2025-06-22 0.147127 0.255263 0.448999 0.838846 1.649382 3.368185 7.627918
2025-06-29 0.140445 0.246507 0.439143 0.832950 1.667128 3.474732 8.074463
2025-07-06 0.130385 0.230939 0.415542 0.797658 1.619100 3.429930 8.136066
2025-07-13 0.126632 0.226961 0.413755 0.806763 1.668153 3.610550 8.801767